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	<title>Comments on: Branyan&#8217;s Mariner Outlook</title>
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	<link>http://www.proballnw.com/08-2009/branyans-mariner-outlook/</link>
	<description>ESPN-affiliated Seattle Mariners blog</description>
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		<title>By: Brandon</title>
		<link>http://www.proballnw.com/08-2009/branyans-mariner-outlook/comment-page-1/#comment-6458</link>
		<dc:creator>Brandon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 00:41:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.proballnw.com/?p=2026#comment-6458</guid>
		<description>I would never argue that LaHair is better than Carp. I was just shocked to see those numbers from LaHair. I would have expected worse..</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would never argue that LaHair is better than Carp. I was just shocked to see those numbers from LaHair. I would have expected worse..</p>
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		<title>By: moethedog</title>
		<link>http://www.proballnw.com/08-2009/branyans-mariner-outlook/comment-page-1/#comment-6457</link>
		<dc:creator>moethedog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 00:13:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.proballnw.com/?p=2026#comment-6457</guid>
		<description>Lahair has an OPS of .902 at Tacoma this year.  That is better than Carp.  But Lahair is in his third full year at the AAA level (and had half a season before that)....and is 26 years old.

He has improved his OPS numbers the past two years at Tacoma.

But not many guys, I think, suddenly make the leap from AAA to the majors and then become very productive at 26.  

Carp is in his first year at that level..and is 23.  More of an upside in my view...lots more.

Keith</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lahair has an OPS of .902 at Tacoma this year.  That is better than Carp.  But Lahair is in his third full year at the AAA level (and had half a season before that)&#8230;.and is 26 years old.</p>
<p>He has improved his OPS numbers the past two years at Tacoma.</p>
<p>But not many guys, I think, suddenly make the leap from AAA to the majors and then become very productive at 26.  </p>
<p>Carp is in his first year at that level..and is 23.  More of an upside in my view&#8230;lots more.</p>
<p>Keith</p>
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		<title>By: Brandon</title>
		<link>http://www.proballnw.com/08-2009/branyans-mariner-outlook/comment-page-1/#comment-6456</link>
		<dc:creator>Brandon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2009 23:47:56 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Bryan Lahair..I looked up his numbers not too long ago, and if i remember correctly, he&#039;s been killing the ball in AAA.  Did he do that last year too?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bryan Lahair..I looked up his numbers not too long ago, and if i remember correctly, he&#8217;s been killing the ball in AAA.  Did he do that last year too?</p>
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		<title>By: Jon Shields</title>
		<link>http://www.proballnw.com/08-2009/branyans-mariner-outlook/comment-page-1/#comment-6455</link>
		<dc:creator>Jon Shields</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2009 21:42:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.proballnw.com/?p=2026#comment-6455</guid>
		<description>Lyle Overbay without the glove is a decent first baseman, but by no means a long term solution.  Overbay in his best seasons is a 2-2.5 WAR player.  That&#039;s obviously an asset, but not considering that first basemen are usually counted on to carry an offense.  

Branyan is having a better year than Overbay.  Overbay walks more and hits for a better average, but Branyan is outslugging him in the tougher league.

I&#039;d be okay with Carp in the short term, but unless he dramatically changes his player profile the team will want to upgrade at some point.  

I think of Carp as a ~1.5-2 WAR player.  This year Overbay figures to be between 2-2.5.  Branyan looks like he&#039;ll be about a 3 this year.  Ideally, I want a guy at 1B that will consistently be between 2.5-4, especially if you&#039;re not getting much offense from other infield spots.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lyle Overbay without the glove is a decent first baseman, but by no means a long term solution.  Overbay in his best seasons is a 2-2.5 WAR player.  That&#8217;s obviously an asset, but not considering that first basemen are usually counted on to carry an offense.  </p>
<p>Branyan is having a better year than Overbay.  Overbay walks more and hits for a better average, but Branyan is outslugging him in the tougher league.</p>
<p>I&#8217;d be okay with Carp in the short term, but unless he dramatically changes his player profile the team will want to upgrade at some point.  </p>
<p>I think of Carp as a ~1.5-2 WAR player.  This year Overbay figures to be between 2-2.5.  Branyan looks like he&#8217;ll be about a 3 this year.  Ideally, I want a guy at 1B that will consistently be between 2.5-4, especially if you&#8217;re not getting much offense from other infield spots.</p>
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		<title>By: moethedog</title>
		<link>http://www.proballnw.com/08-2009/branyans-mariner-outlook/comment-page-1/#comment-6454</link>
		<dc:creator>moethedog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2009 20:40:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.proballnw.com/?p=2026#comment-6454</guid>
		<description>If Mike Carp is Lyle Overbay.....that ain&#039;t bad.  His best years show a .300-.312 BA and OPB of .370-.390 and Slugging pushing .500.  That&#039;s no worse than Branyan&#039;s year this year, and you&#039;re willing to give him $10M.  If Carp is Overbay then he&#039;s in Branyan&#039;s class.

If Carp is a ..300-.380-.490 hitter-15-20 HR guy(an Overbay) at his best then he compares favorably to Mariner 1B over the past 16 years.Tino Martinez in &#039;95 and Sexson in &#039;05 had better years.  Sorrento in &#039;96 &amp; &#039;97, Segui in &#039;98, Olerun in &#039;01 &amp;&#039;02, and Sexson in &#039;05 had numbers more or less comparable...and nobody thought they were slouches.

Konerko, Garko, Billy Butler and Overbay, himself, are having that type of year, this year.

Until we sign Teixeira (who has better power..but the other numbers are comparable this year)...you can live and flourish with that.

Call Carp up.  Give him the bat.  

Keith</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Mike Carp is Lyle Overbay&#8230;..that ain&#8217;t bad.  His best years show a .300-.312 BA and OPB of .370-.390 and Slugging pushing .500.  That&#8217;s no worse than Branyan&#8217;s year this year, and you&#8217;re willing to give him $10M.  If Carp is Overbay then he&#8217;s in Branyan&#8217;s class.</p>
<p>If Carp is a ..300-.380-.490 hitter-15-20 HR guy(an Overbay) at his best then he compares favorably to Mariner 1B over the past 16 years.Tino Martinez in &#8217;95 and Sexson in &#8217;05 had better years.  Sorrento in &#8217;96 &amp; &#8217;97, Segui in &#8217;98, Olerun in &#8217;01 &amp;&#8217;02, and Sexson in &#8217;05 had numbers more or less comparable&#8230;and nobody thought they were slouches.</p>
<p>Konerko, Garko, Billy Butler and Overbay, himself, are having that type of year, this year.</p>
<p>Until we sign Teixeira (who has better power..but the other numbers are comparable this year)&#8230;you can live and flourish with that.</p>
<p>Call Carp up.  Give him the bat.  </p>
<p>Keith</p>
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		<title>By: brownie12</title>
		<link>http://www.proballnw.com/08-2009/branyans-mariner-outlook/comment-page-1/#comment-6451</link>
		<dc:creator>brownie12</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2009 09:22:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.proballnw.com/?p=2026#comment-6451</guid>
		<description>All those topics sound interesting. How long do you think Felix will be a Mariner will the Mariners give him a big contract and does he want to stay in Seattle?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>All those topics sound interesting. How long do you think Felix will be a Mariner will the Mariners give him a big contract and does he want to stay in Seattle?</p>
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