Does Mike Wilson Deserve a Shot?

by ~ August 4th, 2010 at 1:30 pm

Mike Wilson was selected out of Booker T. Washington High School in Tulsa, Oklahoma by the Mariners in the 2001 draft, in a second round now highlighted by Dan Haren, J.J. Hardy and Brandon League. Wilson was set to play linebacker for the University of Oklahoma Sooners on a football scholarship but signed with Pat Gillick’s Mariners instead so he could play the sport he preferred.  The following season the 19 year old Wilson made his debut in Arizona.

Wilson had started switch hitting as a senior in high school, but gave it up after no more than a couple seasons of pro ball.  Wilson started making a name for himself with his impressive raw power, but pitch recognition and strikeouts held him back.  He strung up a few decent seasons between 2003 and 2006 before running into serious trouble in 2007.  Following an abysmal start for AA West Tenn, Wilson tore a quad, missed a bunch of time, then strained the muscle again upon returning.  The 24 year old only made it into 57 games that season.

2008 was a big bounce back year for Wilson as he put up a career high slugging percentage (.549), OPS (.938) and home run total (27) in 119 games.  Wilson still wasn’t considered a big prospect, however.  He was 25 at this point, had just completed his third consecutive season in which he’d spent significant time at the AA level and his strikeouts were still a bit of a problem.

Wilson, added to the 40-man roster at this point, turned some heads the following Spring Training as he attempted to jump onto the big league club, but was ultimately waived to make room for Ken Griffey Jr.  Wilson cleared, re-signed with Seattle and headed to AAA Tacoma.  2009 was another lost season, however, as Wilson missed significant time with an ankle injury and struggled to get anything done in Tacoma as he was sent back to West Tenn.

Mike Wilson turned 27 years old this season.  He started the year with another nice Spring Training, but was cut towards the end of February and sent back to West Tenn to make room for younger, more promising prospects in Tacoma.  Healthy again, Wilson picked up where he left off in 2007, mashing his way to a .292/.402/.585 line through 29 games, prompting a callup to Tacoma.  The promotion didn’t slow Wilson down.  Through 71 games with Tacoma Wilson is hitting .297/.381/.559, bringing his combined season line to .296/.388/.567 with 24 homers, all while putting up the lowest strikeout rate of his career.

Given Seattle’s complete lack of offense this season, it’s easy to see why Wilson’s name is coming up as a possible solution.  Can Wilson be a productive player for the Seattle Mariners?

The age leads a lot of people to just write Wilson off completely, but I’d wager that there is a slight difference between a 27 year old who was held up by injuries and a 27 year old who has simply mastered the level in AAAA fashion.  2010 is Wilson’s longest and most successful stint in AAA.  Injuries are not completely to blame, however– it’s not as if Wilson is a former top 5 prospect who has been derailed– but neither is the “late bloomer” merely a baseball myth.  Rare, sure, but it happens.

It’s not as if Wilson is succeeding without us knowing why.  He has a big league power tool, and he walks at a decent clip.  This season it looks like he’s modified his approach, being a little more aggressive (fewer walks) but cutting way down on the number of called strikeouts getting called against him, something that was a problem in the past.  A hitter can’t be afraid to hit with two strikes, but constantly getting into two strike counts is just playing with fire.  Ask Chone Figgins.

I can’t say whether or not Wilson can be effective at the next level.  His path to the minor leagues’ highest level has not been swift, but he’s done what he needs to do.  He’s made himself into a good AAA player, which is all we can ask for at this point.  And it’s not just the bat that’s come around; he is still plenty athletic enough to hold down a corner outfield spot.  Now he just needs to wait for a chance.

And he may not get one in Seattle barring injury.  Ichiro and Franklin Gutierrez aren’t going anywhere and Michael Saunders has more upside than that of Wilson, justifying giving him the playing time.  And now with Justin Smoak and Russell Branyan in the fold along with Milton Bradley, DH at bats aren’t easy to come by.

Seattle may give him a courtesy callup in September and, if he’s retained over the offseason, may allow him to compete for a 4th outfielder/left field platoon position if there is one available, but there isn’t a clear path to the majors for Wilson at this point.

Wilson deserves a shot, but he might have to get it elsewhere.  I hope to see him in Spring Training with Seattle, however.


  • moethedog

    I’ve so frequently called for a M. Wilson call-up this year that I fear that I’ve become a broken record.

    But, daming the torpedoes, here I go again. Wilson needs/deserves a call-up now….and not just a cup of coffee/courtesy type in September. More than that, the Mariners are silly if they don’t take an extended look.

    He has mashed the ball this year and walks at a very valuable clip. There is an upside here that could easily be in the .260-.360-.450 region.
    If Wilson can hit those kind of numbers, he’s a 120 or so OPS guy.

    Jack Cust was .240-.356.-417 guy last year, and nobody disputes his value as a MLB player. Oh…Cust got his first shot, really, at age 28.

    And Wilson shows to be a distinctly better COF that Cust.

    Can he get there? It’s very possible.

    While it’s possible he’s just becoming a AAAA guy, what drives me nuts is that the M’s are certainly no offensive juggernaut right now and don’t project to be one, with this line-up, next year. The Mariners miss extra-base pop desperatley. Wilson offers that chance.

    Kotchman’s not back next year….and nobody is giving you anything for him this year. Send him on his way right now. Ryan Langerhans is a nice bench player if you’re the Yankee’s and in a pennant race. He offers the M’s zilch. Send him on his way. There are two basically useless players (to future Mariner growth) who will not be Mariners next year. Give one (both!) the pink-slip.

    We have a 50+ games remaining. Between the rests days that Saunders will get and Guti will get and the DH days available you could easily get Wilson in 30+ games. Bat him in the 5th or 6th hole over that span and you get a 130-140 PA experiment.

    Bring him up? Absolutely! In a heartbeat. Let’s see if he has the chops.

    Maybe with the Sweeney move, today is the day! But I think Z’s going to miss this one.

    Another clearly missed opportunity….and one more reason to lament this Mariner Annus Horribilis.

    moe

  • lamlor

    Funny, I wrote on the CBS Mariners site last week that I believe Wilson should get a shot because he is one of the true right handed power options close to the majors and he has had a good AAA season. I think he would make a good platoon DH as well as a 4th outfield option. If the plan is to keep Branyan next year, we need a RH platoon option as well, but this time we need a DH option that can also play a position unlike JR and Sweeney. Wilson could add to the bench as a power threat as well when not DHing.

    They could go out and get one next year, but there are few options for a platoon DH unless they are on their last legs. a hungry guy like Wilson deserves a chance. I would like to see Lopez DFA’d and Wilson called up asap and play as I mentioned.

    Just my thoughts.

  • Missthosepilots

    Thanks! Maybe with Sweeney traded? Never a guarantee with anyone coming up but people tend to forget Edgar wasn’t the 21 year old prospect when he was finally given a chance.

  • http://baseballhittingtipsonline.blogspot.com/ baseballhittingtips

    I believe that Wilson does indeed deserve a shot. Sooner than later. He had a great July hitting .359 with five homeruns. August has been slow for him so far. Let’s see how he does in the next 10 games.

  • harrison

    I still get Bleacher Report emails for some reason and they are advertising this post with a link to it. Only they retitled it “Mariners Allowing Big League-Quality Slugger to Rot” … hahahaha….

    • http://proballnw.com Jon

      ?????????